Fat Brands Stock Performance

FATBB Stock  USD 1.42  0.04  2.74%   
FAT Brands holds a performance score of 6 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -6.37, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning FAT Brands are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, FAT Brands is expected to outperform it. Use FAT Brands potential upside, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to analyze future returns on FAT Brands.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in FAT Brands are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat weak fundamental drivers, FAT Brands sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1576:1000
Dividend Date
2024-11-29
Ex Dividend Date
2024-11-15
Last Split Date
2025-01-30
1
Noble Capital downgrades FAT Brands stock rating to Market Perform on debt concerns - Investing.com
12/01/2025
2
Fat Brands, MTY and the limits of restaurant chain consolidation - Restaurant Business Magazine
12/04/2025
3
Unlimited breadsticks hit Surprise as Fazolis opens new spot - Stock Titan
12/18/2025
4
Fat Brands Announces 2025 Annual Stockholder Meeting Results - TipRanks
12/31/2025
5
FAT Brands receives Nasdaq delisting notice after stock falls below 1 - Yahoo Finance
01/12/2026
6
Disposition of 30636 shares by Collier Lynne Leigh of FAT Brands at 5.93 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/23/2026
7
Disposition of 1794766 shares by Hot Gfg Llc of FAT Brands at 0.2707 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
8
Acquisition by Thayer Wiederhorn of 15318 shares of FAT Brands at 8.08 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/02/2026
9
Is FAT Brands Inc Gaining or Losing Market Support - Benzinga
02/04/2026
10
FAT Brands Inc. Short Interest Up 1,520.9 percent in January
02/11/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow91.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-26.5 M

FAT Brands Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  181.00  in FAT Brands on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (39.00) from holding FAT Brands or give up 21.55% of portfolio value over 90 days. FAT Brands is currently producing 4.5094% returns and takes up 51.4253% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than FAT, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon FAT Brands is expected to generate 69.5 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 69.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

FAT Brands Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of FAT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.42 90 days 1.42 
about 54.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FAT Brands to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.97 (This FAT Brands probability density function shows the probability of FAT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FAT Brands has a beta of -6.37. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding FAT Brands are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, FAT Brands is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that FAT Brands has an alpha of 4.3262, implying that it can generate a 4.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FAT Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FAT Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAT Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.42143.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.09143.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.4752.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.881.483.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FAT Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FAT Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FAT Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FAT Brands.

FAT Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FAT Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FAT Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FAT Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FAT Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
4.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-6.37
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

FAT Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FAT Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FAT Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FAT Brands is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FAT Brands may become a speculative penny stock
FAT Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
FAT Brands has accumulated 1.47 B in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 592.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (189.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 141.6 M.
FAT Brands has accumulated about 23.91 M in cash with (56.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
FAT Brands has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FAT Brands Inc. Short Interest Up 1,520.9 percent in January

FAT Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FAT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.4 M

FAT Brands Fundamentals Growth

FAT Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FAT Brands, and FAT Brands fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FAT Stock performance.

About FAT Brands Performance

By analyzing FAT Brands' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into FAT Brands' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if FAT Brands has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if FAT Brands has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
FAT Brands Inc., a multi-brand franchising company, acquires, develops, and manages quick service, fast casual, casual dining, and polished casual dining restaurant concepts worldwide. FAT Brands Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Fog Cutter Holdings, LLC. Fat Brands operates under Restaurants classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1100 people.

Things to note about FAT Brands performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about FAT Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FAT Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
FAT Brands is way too risky over 90 days horizon
FAT Brands may become a speculative penny stock
FAT Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
FAT Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
FAT Brands has accumulated 1.47 B in total debt. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about FAT Brands' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 592.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (189.85 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 141.6 M.
FAT Brands has accumulated about 23.91 M in cash with (56.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
FAT Brands has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: FAT Brands Inc. Short Interest Up 1,520.9 percent in January
Evaluating FAT Brands' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate FAT Brands' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing FAT Brands' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FAT Brands' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining FAT Brands' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating FAT Brands' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FAT Brands' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FAT Brands' stock. These opinions can provide insight into FAT Brands' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating FAT Brands' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact FAT Brands' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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